This paper presents a mathematical approach to properly account for uncertainty in wind resource assessment and wind energy production estimation. The evaluation of a wind resource and the subsequent estimation of the annual energy production (AEP) is a highly uncertain process. Uncertainty arises at all points in the process, from measuring the wind speed to the uncertainty in a power curve. A...

The significant penetration rate of wind turbines in power systems made some challenges in the operation of the systems such as large-scale power fluctuations induced by wind farms. Gas-fired plants with fast starting ability and high ramping can better handle natural uncertainties of wind power compared to other traditional plants. Therefore, the integration of electrical and natural gas syste...

One of the major difficulties introduced with wind power penetration is the inherent uncertainty in production originating from uncertain wind conditions. This uncertainty impacts many different aspects of power system operation, especially the balancing power requirements. For this reason, in power system development planing, it is necessary to evaluate the potential uncertainty in future wind...

In this paper, a missing wind speed data temporal interpolation and extrapolation method in the wind energy industry was investigated. Given that traditional methods have previously ignored part of mixed uncertainty of wind speed, a concrete granular computing method is constructed and a new Measure–Correlate–Predict (MCP) method of wind speed data temporal interpolation and extrapolation consi...

This paper introduces a new approach for scheduling security constraint unit commitment (SCUC) including wind farms. Because of uncertainty in wind power production, we tried to develop a new method for incorporating wind power generation in power plant scheduling. For this, wind power generation modeled with unit commitment in a non-linear optimization problem and simulated by submitting diffe...

The California generation fleet manages the existing variability and uncertainty in the demand for electric power (load). When wind power is added, the dispatchable generators manage the variability and uncertainty of the net load (load minus wind power). The variability and uncertainty of the load and the net load are compared when 8790MW of wind power are added to the California power system,...

1. Abstract Conventional wind turbine blades have been designed using fatigue life predictions based on a fixed wind load distribution that does not fully capture uncertainty of the wind load. This could result in early fatigue failure of blades and eventually increase the maintenance cost of wind turbines. To produce reliable as well as economical wind turbine blades, this paper studies reliab...